New York J vs New England: 1st quarter: New England wins

Yes100%
No0%

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ResolvesOct 20, 20264 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17Oct 18Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if New England scores more points than New York J during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between New England and New York J scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. If the points scored during the 1st quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 1st quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini settles using official score data and says a tie resolves No; Kalshi also uses quarter score, with the team strike resolving No on a tie and a separate Tie strike paying Yes. The published criteria differ in no material way for the New England win question.
  • Geminithis market

    New York J vs New England: 1st quarter: New England wins

    This market resolves to Yes if New England scores more points than New York J during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between New England and New York J scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. If the points scored during the 1st quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 1st quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

    read Oct 17, 09:07 PM UTC

  • Will New England win the 1st Quarter?

    If New England wins the 1st Quarter of the New York J vs New England Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 1st Quarter. Only points scored during the 1st Quarter of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 18, 01:47 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
New York J vs New England: 1st quarter: New York J winsGemini100% NoOpen
1st quarter: Will New York J vs New England end in a draw?Gemini100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 04:44 PM UTC