GeminiResolvedvenue data is stalePart of a cross-venue question

New York J vs New England: 4th quarter: New York J wins

No100%
Yes0%

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ResolvesOct 20, 20265 days ago

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17Oct 18Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if New York J scores more points than New England during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between New York J and New England scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. If the points scored during the 4th quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 4th quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in settlement mechanics: Gemini cites a hierarchy of official/broadcast sources and a market review process, while Kalshi states the 4th-quarter-only rule and tie strike treatment. The listed resolution times also differ, but that is not a material difference in the question asked.
  • Geminithis market

    New York J vs New England: 4th quarter: New York J wins

    This market resolves to Yes if New York J scores more points than New England during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between New York J and New England scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. If the points scored during the 4th quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 4th quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

    read Oct 17, 09:10 PM UTC

  • Will New York J win the 4th Quarter?

    If New York J wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the New York J vs New England Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime). Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 18, 01:47 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
4th quarter: Will New York J vs New England end in a draw?Gemini100% NoOpen
New York J vs New England: 4th quarter: New England winsGemini100% YesOpen

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As of Oct 24, 10:46 PM UTC