KalshiResolved

Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.1 on Oct 12, 2026? Above 38.1%

No99%

Above 38.1%1%

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24h volume$84K

7d volume—

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ResolvesOct 12, 202612 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Trump's RCP approval average is above 38.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.1 on Oct 12, 2026? 38.1%	Kalshi	99% 38.1%	$60.4K	—	—	Open
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.0 on Oct 12, 2026? 38.0%	Kalshi	99% No	$48.1K	—	—	Open
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 37.5 on Oct 12, 2026? Below 37.5%	Kalshi	99% No	$42.2K	—	—	Open
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 37.5 on Oct 12, 2026? 37.5%	Kalshi	99% No	$32.2K	—	—	Open
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 37.8 on Oct 12, 2026? 37.8%	Kalshi	99% No	$25.4K	—	—	Open
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 37.9 on Oct 12, 2026? 37.9%	Kalshi	99% No	$22.7K	—	—	Open
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 37.6 on Oct 12, 2026? 37.6%	Kalshi	99% No	$20.5K	—	—	Open
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 37.7 on Oct 12, 2026? 37.7%	Kalshi	99% No	$18.9K	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 04:45 PM UTC