UTSA wins by over 5.5 points

No99%
UTSA wins by over 5.5 points1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$71.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
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ResolvesOct 18, 20267 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 11Oct 13Oct 15Oct 16Oct 18Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If UTSA wins by more than 5.5 points in the Navy vs UTSA college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi, Polymarket, and Novig differ on settlement mechanics: Kalshi uses a fair-price fallback if the game is not started within 48 hours, Polymarket resolves 50-50 if canceled and stays open if postponed, and Novig voids to fair market value under its rulebook. Polymarket cites ncaa.com as source of truth while the others do not specify a source, but the underlying spread question is the same.
  • Kalshithis market

    UTSA wins by over 5.5 points

    If UTSA wins by more than 5.5 points in the Navy vs UTSA college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 16, 07:52 PM UTC

  • Navy vs UTSA: spread: UTSA (-5.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "UTSA" if UTSA win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Navy". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • UTSA vs Navy: spread: UTSA (-5.5)

    Novig NCAAF spread market on UTSA vs Navy, scheduled 2026-10-18 00:00 UTC. Sides: UTSA -5.5 / NAVY +5.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 18, 03:13 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
UTSA wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UTSA wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UTSA wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% UTSA wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Navy wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi97% NoOpen
UTSA wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UTSA wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi97% UTSA wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
UTSA wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% UTSA wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Navy wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UTSA wins by over 21.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UTSA wins by over 27.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
UTSA wins by over 23.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UTSA wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UTSA wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UTSA wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi97% NoOpen
UTSA wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
UTSA wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi94% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Navy wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 07:52 PM UTC