Kyle Nelson wins

No99%
Kyle Nelson1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$899.1K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 18, 20267 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 11Oct 13Oct 15Oct 16Oct 18

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Kyle Nelson wins the Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. SxBet and Kalshi differ on fine print: SxBet says no-contest voids, while Kalshi gives a 0.50 outcome for tie/no contest and has additional postponement/cancellation rules. Those resolution differences are material to settlement only, not to the question being priced.
  • Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez: Kyle Nelson wins

    12. Kyle Nelson / Cristian Perez. Void condition: NO_CONTEST. SX Bet sport-specific betting rules apply.

    read Oct 18, 01:43 AM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Kyle Nelson wins

    If Kyle Nelson wins the Kyle Nelson vs Cristian Perez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Oct 18, 05:25 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Cristian Perez winsKalshi99% Cristian PerezOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
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As of Oct 25, 05:25 AM UTC