Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: first 3 innings: Cleveland wins

No100%
Yes0%

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ResolvesOct 19, 20266 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Cleveland has more runs than Tampa Bay after the first 3 innings of the MLB game between Cleveland and Tampa Bay scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. If the score is tied after the first 3 innings, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the first 3 innings of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are MLB and its official data providers. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions__MLB_First_3_Inning_Leader_Classdocx_ae2887d6-cdf7-4e84-9b9e-9053391f4510.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini says a 3-inning tie resolves No, while Kalshi routes ties to a separate Tie strike and makes the Cleveland team strike No. They also differ on postponed/cancelled-game handling, but not on the underlying question.
  • Geminithis market

    Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: first 3 innings: Cleveland wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Cleveland has more runs than Tampa Bay after the first 3 innings of the MLB game between Cleveland and Tampa Bay scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. If the score is tied after the first 3 innings, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the first 3 innings of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are MLB and its official data providers. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions__MLB_First_3_Inning_Leader_Classdocx_ae2887d6-cdf7-4e84-9b9e-9053391f4510.pdf).

    read Oct 17, 05:04 PM UTC

  • Cleveland first 3 innings winner

    If Cleveland wins the first 3 innings of the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the first 3 innings of the Tampa Bay vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT. If the score at the end of the first 3 innings is tied, the "Tie" strike will resolve to Yes and all team strikes will resolve to No. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: first 3 innings: Tampa Bay winsGemini100% NoOpen
first 3 innings: Will Tampa Bay vs Cleveland end in a draw?Gemini100% YesOpen

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As of Oct 24, 04:23 PM UTC