Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: first 7 innings: Tampa Bay wins

Yes100%
No0%

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ResolvesOct 15, 202610 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13, 02:26 AMOct 13, 10:34 AMOct 13, 06:41 PMOct 14, 02:49 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Tampa Bay has more runs than Cleveland after the first 7 innings of the MLB game between Tampa Bay and Cleveland scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. If the score is tied after the first 7 innings, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the first 7 innings of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are MLB and its official data providers. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_-_MLB_First_7_Inning_Leader_95febe12-ac5c-4b09-a3a3-859443aeea89.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini resolves a first-7-innings tie to No; Kalshi uses a separate Tie strike, with team strikes resolving No on a tie. The game/date/horizon and team matchup are otherwise the same.
  • Geminithis market

    Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: first 7 innings: Tampa Bay wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Tampa Bay has more runs than Cleveland after the first 7 innings of the MLB game between Tampa Bay and Cleveland scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. If the score is tied after the first 7 innings, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the first 7 innings of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are MLB and its official data providers. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_-_MLB_First_7_Inning_Leader_95febe12-ac5c-4b09-a3a3-859443aeea89.pdf).

  • Tampa Bay first 7 innings winner

    If Tampa Bay wins the first 7 innings of the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the first 7 innings of the Cleveland vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. If the score at the end of the first 7 innings is tied, the "Tie" strike will resolve to Yes and all team strikes will resolve to No. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: first 7 innings: Cleveland winsGemini100% NoOpen
first 7 innings: Will Cleveland vs Tampa Bay end in a draw?Gemini100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 07:48 PM UTC