KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Bremen wins

No79%

Bremen21%

Price checked at Oct 24, 01:17 PM UTC

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24h volume$4.8K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 24, 2026in 3 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Bremen wins the Mainz vs Bremen professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Mainz vs Bremen professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

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Comparable, not identical. Venues differ on source/rules: Opinion uses the official Bundesliga result and alternative source fallback, Kalshi has its own rescheduling/fair-price language, and Limitless specifies no extra time/penalties and a no-final-result fallback. These are material only to settlement mechanics, not to the question asked.

Open
FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen: Werder Bremen wins
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between FSV Mainz 05 (MAI) and Werder Bremen (WER), scheduled for 2026-10-24 13:30 UTC. - MAI: If FSV Mainz 05 wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - WER: If Werder Bremen wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both MAI and WER options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/ Resolves Yes if Werder Bremen wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.
read Oct 24, 12:37 PM UTC
this market
Bremen wins
If Bremen wins the Mainz vs Bremen professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Mainz vs Bremen professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Oct 24, 07:38 AM UTC
Open
FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen: Werder Bremen wins
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 24, 2026, 13:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
0 holders · read Oct 24, 07:14 AM UTC