KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Union Berlin wins

No99%

Union Berlin1%

Price checked at Oct 24, 04:39 PM UTC

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24h volume$535

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 24, 202659 minutes ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Union Berlin wins the Augsburg vs Union Berlin professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Augsburg vs Union Berlin professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The venues differ on settlement details: Opinion uses the Bundesliga official result and Kalshi/Novig use their own rulebooks and void/fair-value rules. They also publish different settlement times, but the underlying question is the same.

Open
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: Union Berlin wins
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between FC Augsburg (AUG) and Union Berlin (UNI), scheduled for 2026-10-24 13:30 UTC. - AUG: If FC Augsburg wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - UNI: If Union Berlin wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both AUG and UNI options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/ Resolves Yes if Union Berlin wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.
read Oct 24, 05:07 PM UTC
this market
Union Berlin wins
If Union Berlin wins the Augsburg vs Union Berlin professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Augsburg vs Union Berlin professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Oct 24, 07:36 AM UTC
Open
FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin: 1. FC Union Berlin wins
Novig Bundesliga moneyline 3 way win market on FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled 2026-10-24 13:30 UTC. Sides: Yes / No. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
read Oct 24, 09:32 AM UTC