Barcelona wins
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Barcelona wins the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
The same question elsewhere
4 venues carry itBarcelona vs Real Madrid: Barcelona wins
This market refers to the La Liga match between Barcelona (BAR) and Real Madrid (REA), scheduled for 2026-10-25 20:00 UTC. - BAR: If Barcelona wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - REA: If Real Madrid wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both BAR and REA options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/ Resolves Yes if Barcelona wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.
read Oct 24, 06:57 PM UTC
- this market
Barcelona wins
If Barcelona wins the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Barcelona vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Oct 23, 08:53 AM UTC
Barcelona FC vs Real Madrid: Barcelona FC wins
12. Barcelona FC / Real Madrid. Void condition: NO_CONTEST. SX Bet sport-specific betting rules apply.
read Oct 24, 03:51 PM UTC
FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona wins
Novig La Liga moneyline 3 way win market on FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid CF, scheduled 2026-10-25 20:00 UTC. Sides: Yes / No. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
read Oct 24, 05:00 PM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | Kalshi | 73% No | Open |
| Tie is the result | Kalshi | 85% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue yesterdayDiscussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 24, 07:01 PM UTC