Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals

No99%
Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals1%

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24h volume$17.8K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 14, 202611 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 11, 10:55 AMOct 12, 10:39 AMOct 13, 10:23 AMOct 14, 10:06 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals in the Buffalo vs Montreal NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles on the official final result with a postponement window and fair-price handling if cancelled; Gemini uses its listed source hierarchy and market review process for unresolved cases. These resolution details differ, but the underlying question is the same Montreal -1.5 spread on the same game.
  • Kalshithis market

    Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals

    If Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals in the Buffalo vs Montreal NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

  • Buffalo vs Montreal: spread: Montreal (-1.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Montreal in the entire NHL game between Buffalo and Montreal scheduled for 2026-10-13 at 5:30 p.m. CT is above 1.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Montreal's score minus Buffalo's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NHL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NHL_Spread_Class_e8baa5c3-e62c-4ad4-8cc4-0887adfe2620.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Montreal wins by over 2.5 goalsKalshi99% NoOpen
Buffalo wins by over 1.5 goalsKalshi99% NoOpen
Buffalo wins by over 2.5 goalsKalshi99% NoOpen
Buffalo vs Montreal: Spread: spread: Montreal (-3.5)Kalshi99% NoOpen
Buffalo wins by over 4.5 goalsKalshi99% NoOpen
Buffalo vs Montreal: Spread: spread: Montreal (-4.5)Kalshi99% NoOpen
Buffalo vs Montreal: Spread: spread: Buffalo (-3.5)Kalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 03:52 PM UTC