Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 goals

No99%
Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 goals1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$642
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 14, 202611 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 11, 10:55 AMOct 12, 10:39 AMOct 13, 10:23 AMOct 14, 10:06 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 goals in the Tampa Bay vs New York R NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves by the official final result, with a fair-price fallback if the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of the scheduled time. Gemini uses NHL/related source agencies and a market review process for undetermined outcomes; otherwise the published criteria are materially the same.
  • Kalshithis market

    Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 goals

    If Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 goals in the Tampa Bay vs New York R NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

  • Tampa Bay vs New York R: spread: Tampa Bay (-2.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Tampa Bay in the entire NHL game between Tampa Bay and New York R scheduled for 2026-10-13 at 6:15 p.m. CT is above 2.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Tampa Bay's score minus New York R's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NHL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NHL_Spread_Class_e8baa5c3-e62c-4ad4-8cc4-0887adfe2620.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
New York R wins by over 1.5 goalsKalshi99% New York R wins by over 1.5 goalsOpen
New York R wins by over 2.5 goalsKalshi99% New York R wins by over 2.5 goalsOpen
Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 goalsKalshi99% NoOpen
New York R wins by over 4.5 goalsKalshi99% NoOpen
New York R wins by over 3.5 goalsKalshi99% NoOpen
Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 goalsKalshi99% NoOpen
Tampa Bay wins by over 4.5 goalsKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 07:51 PM UTC