Vegas wins by over 1.5 goals

Vegas wins by over 1.5 goals99%
No1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$83.6K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 14, 202611 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 11Oct 12Oct 12Oct 13Oct 14Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Vegas wins by over 1.5 goals in the Vegas vs Nashville NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini cites NHL/ESPN/Fox Sports/broadcast-partner sources and a market review process for cancellation or disqualification; Kalshi uses the official final result and explicitly handles postponement within 48 hours or fair-price resolution if not started. These are different settlement rules for the same underlying spread question, not a different question.
  • Vegas vs Nashville: spread: Vegas (-1.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Vegas in the entire NHL game between Vegas and Nashville scheduled for 2026-10-13 at 7:45 p.m. CT is above 1.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Vegas's score minus Nashville's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NHL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NHL_Spread_Class_e8baa5c3-e62c-4ad4-8cc4-0887adfe2620.pdf).

  • Kalshithis market

    Vegas wins by over 1.5 goals

    If Vegas wins by over 1.5 goals in the Vegas vs Nashville NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Vegas wins by over 2.5 goalsKalshi99% Vegas wins by over 2.5 goalsOpen
Nashville wins by over 1.5 goalsKalshi99% NoOpen
Nashville wins by over 2.5 goalsKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 12:52 AM UTC