Notre Dame wins by over 20.5 points

No99%
Notre Dame wins by over 20.5 points1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$0
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ResolvesOct 18, 20267 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 11Oct 13Oct 15Oct 17Oct 18Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Notre Dame wins by more than 20.5 points in the Notre Dame vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ on resolution mechanics only: Gemini cites league/ESPN/Fox/official broadcast sources, Polymarket uses ncaa.com and has a 50-50 cancel rule, and Kalshi uses a 48-hour postponement window with fair-price settlement if not started in time. The underlying question and line are the same.
  • Notre Dame vs BYU: spread: Notre Dame (-20.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Notre Dame in the entire college football game between Notre Dame and BYU scheduled for 2026-10-17 at 6:30 p.m. CT is above 20.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Notre Dame's score minus BYU's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 18, 02:23 AM UTC

  • Notre Dame vs BYU: spread: Notre Dame (-20.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game by 21 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BYU". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Notre Dame wins by over 20.5 points

    If Notre Dame wins by more than 20.5 points in the Notre Dame vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 18, 11:57 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Notre Dame wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Notre Dame wins by over 23.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Notre Dame wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Notre Dame wins by over 27.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Notre Dame wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Notre Dame wins by over 21.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Notre Dame wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Notre Dame wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Notre Dame wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Notre Dame wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Notre Dame wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Notre Dame wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Notre Dame wins by over 12.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Notre Dame wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
BYU wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
BYU wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% BYU wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
BYU wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi97% NoOpen
BYU wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
BYU wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
BYU wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% BYU wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
BYU wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% BYU wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
BYU wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
BYU wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
BYU wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
BYU wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 04:42 PM UTC