Duke wins by over 4.5 points

No99%
Duke wins by over 4.5 points1%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$9.8K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 17, 20268 days ago

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 11Oct 13Oct 14Oct 16Oct 17

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Duke wins by more than 4.5 points in the North Carolina vs Duke college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses NCAA.com and resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled; Gemini uses a source-agency hierarchy and a review process if the value cannot be determined; Kalshi uses its own rules, including fair price if the game is not started within 48 hours. These are settlement differences only, not different questions.
  • North Carolina vs Duke: spread: Duke (-4.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "North Carolina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • North Carolina vs Duke: spread: Duke (-4.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Duke in the entire college football game between North Carolina and Duke scheduled for 2026-10-17 at 3:00 p.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Duke's score minus North Carolina's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 17, 11:35 PM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Duke wins by over 4.5 points

    If Duke wins by more than 4.5 points in the North Carolina vs Duke college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 16, 07:09 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Duke wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Duke wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
North Carolina wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
North Carolina wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
North Carolina wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% North Carolina wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
North Carolina wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
North Carolina wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
North Carolina wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% North Carolina wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
North Carolina wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
North Carolina wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi89% NoOpen
North Carolina wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% North Carolina wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
North Carolina wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
North Carolina wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Duke wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
North Carolina wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
North Carolina wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
North Carolina wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Duke wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Duke wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Duke wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Duke wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Duke wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Duke wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Duke wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Duke wins by over 20.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 25, 11:27 AM UTC