9z vs Aurora Gaming

Yes100%
No0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
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ResolvesOct 15, 20269 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 11Oct 12Oct 12Oct 13Oct 14

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between 9z and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against 9z. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 UTC). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves postponed/cancelled/forfeited-before-play cases to fair market price; Limitless uses 50-50 and has a 14-day rescheduling cutoff. These are resolution differences only and do not change the underlying match outcome question.
  • Aurora Gaming wins

    If Aurora Gaming wins the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gaming vs. 9z CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the full match in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026: Aurora Gaming vs. 9z CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT If the relevant match is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant match is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the relevant match begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market will resolve according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Limitlessthis market

    9z vs Aurora Gaming

    This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between 9z and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against 9z. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 UTC). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

    4 holders · read Oct 14, 07:02 AM UTC

Venue activity

Holders4
Held value$142
Trades (24h)—
Trades1
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 25% · best ask 29%

Top holders

  • 0xD12074BD15074C19D94e16AD353d4c462bf8052dNo$107
  • 0xD12074BD15074C19D94e16AD353d4c462bf8052dYes$32
  • 0xc6382C0D832f165c0225d178aF0a1717adC00Fd4No$2
  • 0x3Eda6446d3f458E8ce2b9C433C59D719E331fc28Yes$1

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • —78%$211 days ago

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As of Oct 24, 02:17 PM UTC