PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question

UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)

Colby Thicknesse100%

Asaf Chopurov0%

Price checked at Oct 24, 05:18 PM UTC

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24h volume$17K

7d volume$19.7K

30d volume$19.7K

Liquidity$69.4K

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 3 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Colby Thicknesse" if Colby Thicknesse is officially declared the winner of the fight against Asaf Chopurov at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Asaf Chopurov" if Asaf Chopurov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. They differ only in settlement mechanics: Polymarket resolves by UFC official result with a later cutoff for postponement/cancellation, while Kalshi uses its own expiration time and fair-price handling for cancellations/postponements. These are fine-print resolution differences, not a different underlying market question.

this market
UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
This market will resolve to "Colby Thicknesse" if Colby Thicknesse is officially declared the winner of the fight against Asaf Chopurov at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Asaf Chopurov" if Asaf Chopurov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Open
Colby Thicknesse wins
If Colby Thicknesse wins the Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
read Oct 22, 01:00 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

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Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Fight to Go the Distance?	Polymarket	100% Yes	$200	—	—	Open
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Polymarket	100% Over	$199	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Polymarket	100% No	$6	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by decision?	Polymarket	100% Yes	$3	—	—	Open
Will Colby Thicknesse win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Asaf Chopurov win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Colby Thicknesse win in Round 2?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Colby Thicknesse win in Round 1?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by submission?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Asaf Chopurov win in Round 1?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Colby Thicknesse win in Round 3?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Asaf Chopurov win in Round 3?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Polymarket	100% Over	—	—	—	Open
O/U 0.5 Rounds	Polymarket	100% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will Asaf Chopurov win in Round 2?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 25, 12:36 AM UTC