UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Dominick Reyes100%
Azamat Murzakanov0%

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24h volume$11.6K
7d volume$20.4K
30d volume$20.5K
Liquidity$106.3K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 8 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Azamat Murzakanov" if Azamat Murzakanov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Dominick Reyes at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Dominick Reyes" if Dominick Reyes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Polymarket use different fair-price / 50-50 handling for draw, no contest, or cancellation, and Gemini resolves a draw/no contest to No. These are material only to settlement, not to the event question itself.
  • Azamat Murzakanov wins

    If Azamat Murzakanov wins the Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Oct 24, 06:23 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

    This market will resolve to "Azamat Murzakanov" if Azamat Murzakanov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Dominick Reyes at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Dominick Reyes" if Dominick Reyes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

  • Murzakanov vs Reyes: Azamat Murzakanov

    This market resolves to Yes if Azamat Murzakanov wins the Murzakanov vs Reyes professional MMA fight scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

    read Oct 24, 02:40 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Azamat Murzakanov win by KO or TKO?Polymarket100% NoOpen
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket100% UnderOpen
Fight to Go the Distance?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Azamat Murzakanov win in Round 1?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket78% NoOpen
Will Dominick Reyes win in Round 1?Polymarket88% NoOpen
Will Dominick Reyes win by KO or TKO?Polymarket79% NoOpen
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket70% UnderOpen
Will Azamat Murzakanov win in Round 3?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket78% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Azamat Murzakanov win in Round 2?Polymarket85% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket70% YesOpen
Will Dominick Reyes win in Round 2?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket57% NoOpen
Will Dominick Reyes win in Round 3?Polymarket95% NoOpen
O/U 0.5 RoundsPolymarket76% OverOpen
Will the fight end before Round 3?Polymarket67% YesOpen

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As of Oct 24, 07:32 PM UTC