North Carolina vs. Duke

NCAR100%
DUKE0%

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Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 10Oct 12Oct 14Oct 16Oct 18Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between North Carolina and Duke, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game. This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Venues differ on settlement details: Gemini cites multiple source agencies and a review process; Polymarket and PredictFun use NCAA official result with 50-50 on tie/cancel/postpone; Kalshi uses a fair-price rule if cancelled or not started within 48 hours; Pascal publishes no criteria and points to the Polymarket market.
  • North Carolina vs Duke: North Carolina wins

    In the upcoming college football game between North Carolina and Duke, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game. This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • North Carolina wins

    If North Carolina wins the North Carolina vs Duke college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 16, 02:20 PM UTC

  • North Carolina vs Duke: North Carolina wins

    This market resolves to Yes if North Carolina wins the College Football game between North Carolina and Duke originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event . If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).

    read Oct 17, 11:08 PM UTC

  • Predict.funthis market

    North Carolina vs. Duke

    In the upcoming college football game between North Carolina and Duke, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game. This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

    read Oct 17, 10:15 AM UTC

  • North Carolina vs Duke, Oct 17

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 17, 11:43 PM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 09:46 PM UTC