Virginia vs. SMU

SMU100%
VIR0%

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 11Oct 12Oct 14Oct 16Oct 18Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Virginia and SMU, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Virginia" if Virginia win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published criteria differ only in non-material resolution details: Polymarket uses NCAA as source and gives explicit tie/cancellation 50-50 rules, Kalshi uses its own fair-price fallback if not played within 48 hours, and Gemini uses a rules-based source hierarchy/market review process. These do not change the underlying question of whether Virginia wins the Virginia vs SMU game.
  • Virginia vs SMU: Virginia wins

    In the upcoming college football game between Virginia and SMU, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Virginia" if Virginia win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Virginia wins

    If Virginia wins the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 17, 11:28 AM UTC

  • Virginia vs SMU: Virginia wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Virginia wins the College Football game between Virginia and SMU originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event . If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).

    read Oct 17, 08:33 AM UTC

  • Predict.funthis market

    Virginia vs. SMU

    In the upcoming college football game between Virginia and SMU, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Virginia" if Virginia win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

    read Oct 17, 07:06 PM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 01:48 PM UTC