Liverpool vs Brentford: regulation time spread: Brentford (-2.5)

Liverpool (+2.5)100%
Brentford (-2.5)0%

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ResolvesOct 19, 20267 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 10Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Brentford beats Liverpool by more than 2.5 goals in the English Premier League scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Brentford's goals minus Liverpool's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and Gemini differ on resolution mechanics: Polymarket names premierleague.com as primary source with fallback sources and a 50-50 cancel rule, while Gemini lists source agencies and a market outcome review process. Those differences do not change the underlying question being priced.
  • Brentford FC vs Liverpool FC: spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)

    In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for October 17 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Brentford FC" if Brentford FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Liverpool FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

  • Geminithis market

    Liverpool vs Brentford: regulation time spread: Brentford (-2.5)

    If Brentford beats Liverpool by more than 2.5 goals in the English Premier League scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Brentford's goals minus Liverpool's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

    read Oct 17, 12:12 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Liverpool vs Brentford: regulation time spread: Liverpool (-2.5)Gemini100% Brentford (+2.5)Open
Liverpool vs Brentford: regulation time spread: Brentford (-1.5)Gemini100% Liverpool (+1.5)Open
Liverpool vs Brentford: regulation time spread: Liverpool (-1.5)Gemini100% Brentford (+1.5)Open

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As of Oct 25, 02:40 PM UTC