KalshiResolvedPart of a cross-venue question

Miami wins

No99%

Miami1%

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24h volume$519.2K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 17, 20268 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Miami wins the Miami vs Orlando Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question

Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi differ on settlement mechanics: Gemini references a chain of source agencies and a review process for cancellations/forfeits, while Kalshi specifies postponed-game handling and fair-price resolution if not started within 48 hours. These are material only to resolution, not to the question being asked.

Open
Miami vs Orlando: Miami wins
If Miami wins the Pro Basketball game between Miami and Orlando originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NBA_Win_Lose_Class_925aa13e-b255-4ef8-85e0-534a6f0a9012.pdf)
this market
Miami wins
If Miami wins the Miami vs Orlando Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Orlando wins	Kalshi	99% Orlando	$251.7K	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 03:46 PM UTC