KalshiOpen

Spanish general election: Vox vote percent: Will Vox receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?

At least 14%90%
No10%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesDec 15, 2026in 2 months

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Vox in the 2026 Spanish general election is 14% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is the share of the vote received by Vox in the election to the Congress of Deputies. It is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Resolution uses the official results published by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior as proclaimed by the Junta Electoral Central, NOT the provisional count on election night Only the election to the Congress of Deputies counts. Votes cast in the Senate election held the same day do NOT count Invalid ballots are excluded from the denominator. Blank ballots are valid votes under Spanish electoral law and are included in the denominator, as in the official percentages Votes for Vox include votes for any coalition or regional list the Ministry of the Interior aggregates under Vox in its national results

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Spanish general election: Vox vote percent: Will Vox receive at least 19% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Kalshi54% NoOpen
Spanish general election: Vox vote percent: Will Vox receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Spanish general election: Vox vote percent: Will Vox receive at least 21% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Kalshi81% NoOpen
Spanish general election: Vox vote percent: Will Vox receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Kalshi68% NoOpen
Spanish general election: Vox vote percent: Will Vox receive at least 17% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Kalshi80% At least 17%Open
Spanish general election: Vox vote percent: Will Vox receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Kalshi88% At least 16%Open
Spanish general election: Vox vote percent: Will Vox receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Kalshi63% At least 18%Open
Spanish general election: Vox vote percent: Will Vox receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Kalshi98% At least 15%Open
Spanish general election: Vox vote percent: Will Vox receive at least 13% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Kalshi99% At least 13%Open

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As of Oct 24, 08:04 PM UTC