Will Kash Patel visit Russia?: Will Kash Patel visit Russia before Jan 1, 2027?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
If Kash Patel has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Russia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kash Patel visit Russia?: Will Kash Patel visit Russia before Nov 1, 2026? | Kalshi | 96% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 4 days agoDiscussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 24, 08:08 PM UTC