KalshiResolved

Will the S&P 500 be above 7844.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,845 or above

No99%

7,845 or above1%

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24h volume$75

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 12, 202612 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT is above 7844.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 12, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 12, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the S&P 500 be above 7804.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,805 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,805 or above	$45.9K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,820 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$40.2K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7814.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,815 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$39.2K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7809.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,810 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$38.9K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7799.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,800 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,800 or above	$5.7K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,825 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$810	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,790 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,790 or above	$720	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7794.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,795 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,795 or above	$619	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7869.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,870 or above	Kalshi	96% No	$561	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7879.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,880 or above	Kalshi	95% No	$473	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7874.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,875 or above	Kalshi	96% No	$175	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7829.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,830 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$141	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7839.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,840 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$122	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7859.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,860 or above	Kalshi	98% No	$61	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7834.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,835 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$57	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7854.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,855 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$53	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7849.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,850 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$50	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7864.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,865 or above	Kalshi	96% No	$1	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7889.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,890 or above	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,770 or above	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,780 or above	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,775 or above	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7764.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,765 or above	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,750 or above	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 11am EDT? 7,730 or above	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 09:58 PM UTC