KalshiResolved

Will the S&P 500 be above 7879.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,880 or above

No96%
7,880 or above4%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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ResolvesOct 12, 202613 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 10Oct 10Oct 11Oct 12Oct 13Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT is above 7879.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 12, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 12, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7809.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,810 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7814.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,815 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,820 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7799.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,800 or aboveKalshi99% 7,800 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7804.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,805 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,825 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7794.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,795 or aboveKalshi98% 7,795 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7834.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,835 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7829.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,830 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7839.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,840 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,790 or aboveKalshi99% 7,790 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7844.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,845 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7854.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,855 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7849.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,850 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7859.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,860 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7869.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,870 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7864.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,865 or aboveKalshi96% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7874.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,875 or aboveKalshi96% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7889.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,890 or aboveKalshi—Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7884.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,885 or aboveKalshi—Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7894.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,895 or aboveKalshi—Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,780 or aboveKalshi—Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7784.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,785 or aboveKalshi—Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7764.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,765 or aboveKalshi—Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,770 or aboveKalshi—Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 07:58 PM UTC