KalshiResolved

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 16, 2026? 4.96% or above

4.96% or above81%

No19%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 16, 20268 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 16, 2026? 5% or above	Kalshi	82% 5% or above	$303	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 16, 2026? 5.02% or above	Kalshi	78% No	$115	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 16, 2026? 5.04% or above	Kalshi	54% No	$13	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 16, 2026? 5.18% or above	Kalshi	78% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% on Oct 16, 2026? 5.22% or above	Kalshi	65% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% on Oct 16, 2026? 5.24% or above	Kalshi	82% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Oct 16, 2026? 5.2% or above	Kalshi	82% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 16, 2026? 5.16% or above	Kalshi	74% 5.16% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 16, 2026? 5.14% or above	Kalshi	87% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 16, 2026? 5.12% or above	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 16, 2026? 5.08% or above	Kalshi	84% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 16, 2026? 5.06% or above	Kalshi	91% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 16, 2026? 5.1% or above	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 16, 2026? 4.98% or above	Kalshi	59% 4.98% or above	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue this minute

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 08:08 PM UTC