KalshiResolved

Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 15

Above 1599%

No1%

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24h volume$7.5K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 20, 20265 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 25	Kalshi	99% Above 25	$10.9K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 22 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 22	Kalshi	99% Above 22	$9.5K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 20	Kalshi	99% Above 20	$7.2K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 75 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 75	Kalshi	99% No	$7.2K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 30	Kalshi	97% No	$6.2K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 50	Kalshi	99% No	$3.7K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 10 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 10	Kalshi	99% Above 10	$2.5K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 35	Kalshi	99% No	$1.1K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 40	Kalshi	99% No	$1K	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 45 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 45	Kalshi	99% No	$1	—	—	Open
Will there be more than 100 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026? Above 100	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 5 days ago

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As of Oct 25, 01:13 PM UTC