How high will BTC get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Oct 16? — Reaches $85,000
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is at or above $85,000 at any point from the later of this market's listing and 5:00PM ET on Oct 9, 2026 until 5:00PM ET on Oct 16, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI. The market settles based on the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values: the BRTI prices published during the sixty seconds are collected, the highest 20% and lowest 20% of those values are removed, and the remaining values are averaged, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If this trimmed mean is at or above $85,000 at any point during the measurement window, the market settles to Yes, and may settle early at that time. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' BRTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| How high will BTC get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Oct 16? — Reaches $90,000 | PolymarketUs | 100% No | Open |
| How high will BTC get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Oct 16? — Reaches $87,500 | PolymarketUs | 100% No | Open |
| How high will BTC get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Oct 16? — Reaches $100,000 | PolymarketUs | 100% No | Open |
| How high will BTC get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Oct 16? — Reaches $102,500 | PolymarketUs | 100% No | Open |
| How high will BTC get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Oct 16? — Reaches $95,000 | PolymarketUs | 100% No | Open |
| How high will BTC get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Oct 16? — Reaches $92,500 | PolymarketUs | 100% No | Open |
| How high will BTC get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Oct 16? — Reaches $97,500 | PolymarketUs | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 24, 09:24 PM UTC