Polymarket USResolved

How high will BTC get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Oct 16? — Reaches $85,000

No100%
Yes0%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$720
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 16, 20268 days ago

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 10Oct 12Oct 13Oct 15Oct 16Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is at or above $85,000 at any point from the later of this market's listing and 5:00PM ET on Oct 9, 2026 until 5:00PM ET on Oct 16, 2026. Otherwise, this market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), available at https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/data/indices/BRTI. The market settles based on the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values: the BRTI prices published during the sixty seconds are collected, the highest 20% and lowest 20% of those values are removed, and the remaining values are averaged, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If this trimmed mean is at or above $85,000 at any point during the measurement window, the market settles to Yes, and may settle early at that time. Please note that this market is about the price according to CF Benchmarks' BRTI, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 09:24 PM UTC