Polymarket USOpen

Will Prescription Drug Prices Fall in 2027?

No70%
Yes31%

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24h volume$666
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 27, 2028next year

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) for prescription drugs, U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted, from December 2026 to December 2027, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release for December 2027, is less than 0.0 percent. Outcome sourced from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market settles based on the unadjusted 12-month percent change for prescription drugs published in the Bureau of Labor Statistics' monthly Consumer Price Index release, viewable at https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.toc.htm. Each month's figure is taken as first published; later revisions will not be considered. If the Bureau of Labor Statistics does not publish the unadjusted 12-month percent change for prescription drugs for December 2027 by March 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will settle based on the unadjusted 12-month percent change for prescription drugs for the most recent month prior to December 2027 for which it has been published. For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20RXCPC%20-%20(2026.10.06).pdf

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As of Oct 24, 02:29 PM UTC