PolymarketOpen

Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 31?

No97%
Yes4%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$554
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Ledger is investigating reports of loss of funds from users who purchased hardware wallets through third-party reseller CryptoBillis. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ledger officially announces a plan to compensate, reimburse, or otherwise make whole any affected users for funds lost in this incident by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any form of qualifying compensation will count toward a “Yes” resolution, including but not limited to direct reimbursement, a dedicated victim compensation fund, or a formal arrangement with a third party (e.g., an insurer or the reseller) to cover user losses. A general statement of regret, or an offer to merely assist with investigation or asset recovery without a concrete compensation commitment, will not qualify. Replacement devices, discounts, or other goodwill gestures that do not cover lost funds will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be an official statement from Ledger or Ledger.com, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 06:18 AM UTC