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Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election?: Will Karine Elharrar be Minister of Justice as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

No99%
Karine Elharrar1%

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Spread5%
ResolvesOct 27, 2027next year

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Karine Elharrar formally takes office as Minister of Justice as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of Justice in the government formed after the 2026 Israeli legislative election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent reappointed to the post counts; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned. If no government is formed after the election before Oct 27, 2027, including because a new election is called first, every market resolves No.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
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As of Oct 24, 02:47 PM UTC