KalshiResolved

Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4189 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4189

No98%
Above $41892%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$3.3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
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ResolvesOct 12, 202612 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Oct 10Oct 11Oct 12Oct 12

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4189 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4169 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4169Kalshi99% Above $4169Open
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4179 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4179Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4159 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4159Kalshi96% Above $4159Open
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4129 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4129Kalshi99% Above $4129Open
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4199 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4199Kalshi96% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4109 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4109Kalshi99% Above $4109Open
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4279 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4279Kalshi95% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4209 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4209Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4119 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4119Kalshi99% Above $4119Open
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4149 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4149Kalshi99% Above $4149Open
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4239 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4239Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4139 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4139Kalshi98% Above $4139Open
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3989 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3989Kalshi99% Above $3989Open
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4219 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4219Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4309 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4309Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4339 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4339Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4229 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4229Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4369 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4369Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4259 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4259Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4249 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4249Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4299 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4299Kalshi97% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4269 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4269Kalshi94% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4349 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4349Kalshi98% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4379 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4379Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4289 USD/t.oz on October 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4289Kalshi96% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 05:26 AM UTC