Sam LaPorta Receptions Escalator
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Each Yes contract pays per reception by Sam LaPorta in the Detroit vs Arizona Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. The Yes contracts pay based on this schedule: 0 receptions, $0.0000; 1, $0.0003; 2, $0.0029; 3, $0.0098; 4, $0.0233; 5, $0.0455; 6, $0.0787; 7, $0.1250; 8, $0.1865; 9, $0.2656; 10, $0.3644; 11, $0.4850; 12, $0.6297; 13, $0.8006; 14 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation: Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000 s = official receptions The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBride Receptions Escalator | Kalshi | 89% No | Open |
| Michael Wilson Receptions Escalator | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| Jameson Williams Receptions Escalator | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Escalator | Kalshi | 94% No | Open |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Escalator | Kalshi | 91% No | Open |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. Receptions Escalator | Kalshi | — | Open |
| Jeremiyah Love Receptions Escalator | Kalshi | 95% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 24, 10:38 PM UTC