Denver wins by over 3.5 points?

No99%
Denver wins by over 3.5 points1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$499.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
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ResolvesOct 16, 20269 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Denver wins by more than 3.5 points in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles at 2026-10-16T03:15:00Z while Gemini settles at 2026-10-17T12:15:00Z and cites a list of source agencies and contingency rules. These are material only to settlement mechanics, not to the underlying spread question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Denver wins by over 3.5 points?

    If Denver wins by more than 3.5 points in the Seattle vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 15, 07:16 AM UTC

  • Seattle vs Denver: spread: Denver (-3.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Denver in the entire NFL game between Seattle and Denver scheduled for 2026-10-15 at 7:15 p.m. CT is above 3.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Denver's score minus Seattle's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

    read Oct 15, 07:55 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Seattle wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 3.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi99% Denver wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Denver wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi99% Denver wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Seattle wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 9.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 16.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 9.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 16.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Seattle wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 04:47 PM UTC