KalshiResolved

Will the gold close price be above 3996 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3996

Above $399691%
No9%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$1.3K
7d volume—
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ResolvesOct 8, 202616 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 8, 04:00 PMOct 8, 10:57 PMOct 9, 05:54 AMOct 9, 12:51 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 3996 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4136 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4136Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4126 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4126Kalshi96% Above $4126Open
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4116 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4116Kalshi99% Above $4116Open
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4146 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4146Kalshi96% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4106 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4106Kalshi99% Above $4106Open
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4076 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4076Kalshi99% Above $4076Open
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4086 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4086Kalshi98% Above $4086Open
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4006 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4006Kalshi91% Above $4006Open
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4156 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4156Kalshi96% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4246 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4246Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4096 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4096Kalshi99% Above $4096Open
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4166 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4166Kalshi97% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4206 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4206Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4066 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4066Kalshi99% Above $4066Open
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4196 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4196Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4186 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4186Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4176 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4176Kalshi97% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4036 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4036Kalshi99% Above $4036Open
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4056 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4056Kalshi99% Above $4056Open
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4046 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4046Kalshi98% Above $4046Open
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4316 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4316Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4026 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4026Kalshi97% Above $4026Open
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4016 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4016Kalshi—Open
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4236 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4236Kalshi—Open
Gold price on Oct 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4226 USD/t.oz on October 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4226Kalshi—Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 11:51 PM UTC