KalshiResolved

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 75,500 MW?

No99%

Above 75,500 MW1%

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24h volume$1.5K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

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ResolvesOct 16, 20268 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 is above 75,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 8, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 75,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 75,000 MW	$2.4K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 77,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$1.1K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 70,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 70,500 MW	$1.1K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 74,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 74,000 MW	$1.1K	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 74,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 74,500 MW	$946	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 76,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$651	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 73,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 73,000 MW	$642	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 71,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 71,500 MW	$522	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 73,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 73,500 MW	$347	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 78,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$310	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 76,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$250	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 72,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 72,500 MW	$234	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 72,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 72,000 MW	$233	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 78,500 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$201	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 71,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 71,000 MW	$200	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 77,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$171	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 79,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% No	$90	—	—	Open
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 8, 2026 be above 70,000 MW?	Kalshi	99% Above 70,000 MW	$90	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 24, 03:27 PM UTC