Will Otari Tanzilovi win the Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Otari Tanzilovi UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight in Round 1 Otari Tanzilovi to win in Round 1

No99%
Otari Tanzilovi to win in Round 11%

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ResolvesOct 11, 202614 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 8, 03:02 PMOct 9, 12:03 PMOct 10, 09:03 AMOct 11, 06:04 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Otari Tanzilovi wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Otari Tanzilovi UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves disqualifications as "No" while Kalshi counts them as "Yes," and Kalshi explicitly excludes technical decisions from round-specific wins. Settlement sources differ slightly (Polymarket cites UFC.com, Kalshi unspecified) and resolve times vary by ~1 hour, but both ultimately rely on official UFC determination of the same factual event.
  • Will Otari Tanzilovi win in Round 1?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Otari Tanzilovi defeats Malcolm Wellmaker at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

  • Kalshithis market

    Will Otari Tanzilovi win the Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Otari Tanzilovi UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight in Round 1 Otari Tanzilovi to win in Round 1

    If Otari Tanzilovi wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Otari Tanzilovi UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 10, 11:19 AM UTC

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As of Oct 25, 01:27 AM UTC