Will Ketlen Souza win the Lupita Godinez vs. Ketlen Souza UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight in Round 2 Ketlen Souza to win in Round 2

No99%
Ketlen Souza to win in Round 21%

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24h volume$7.8K
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ResolvesOct 11, 202613 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 8, 02:53 PMOct 9, 11:55 AMOct 10, 08:57 AMOct 11, 05:59 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Ketlen Souza wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 2 of the Lupita Godinez vs. Ketlen Souza UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and Kalshi differ on disqualification handling: Polymarket resolves a disqualification by either fighter to "No", while Kalshi resolves Souza's disqualification in Round 2 to "Yes". Both treat stoppages between rounds as the completed round. Resolution timing differs by one second (Polymarket 03:59:59 vs. Kalshi 04:00:00 UTC). Both use UFC official results as the source.
  • Will Ketlen Souza win in Round 2?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ketlen Souza defeats Loopy Godínez at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 2, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

  • Kalshithis market

    Will Ketlen Souza win the Lupita Godinez vs. Ketlen Souza UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight in Round 2 Ketlen Souza to win in Round 2

    If Ketlen Souza wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 2 of the Lupita Godinez vs. Ketlen Souza UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 10, 11:18 AM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 01:32 PM UTC