KalshiResolved

What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell?: What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026? Iran / Iranian

No99%
Iran / Iranian1%

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ResolvesOct 21, 20263 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 8, 03:52 AMOct 8, 10:29 AMOct 8, 05:06 PMOct 8, 11:43 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Raphael Warnock says Iran / Iranian as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Raphael Warnock speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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As of Oct 24, 06:22 PM UTC