KalshiResolved

Anthropic market share this week? Above 3.2%

Above 3.2%99%
No1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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7d volume—
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ResolvesOct 19, 20265 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 8Oct 9Oct 10Oct 11Oct 13Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Anthropic scores above 3.2% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Oct 7, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Anthropic market share this week? Above 2.8%Kalshi99% Above 2.8%Open
Anthropic market share this week? Above 2.9%Kalshi99% Above 2.9%Open
Anthropic market share this week? Above 2.7%Kalshi99% Above 2.7%Open
Anthropic market share this week? Above 2.6%Kalshi99% Above 2.6%Open
Anthropic market share this week? Above 2.5%Kalshi99% Above 2.5%Open
Anthropic market share this week? Above 2.4%Kalshi99% Above 2.4%Open
Anthropic market share this week? Above 2.3%Kalshi99% Above 2.3%Open
Anthropic market share this week? Above 2.1%Kalshi99% Above 2.1%Open
Anthropic market share this week? Above 3.3%Kalshi99% Above 3.3%Open
Anthropic market share this week? Above 3.0%Kalshi99% Above 3.0%Open
Anthropic market share this week? Above 3.1%Kalshi99% Above 3.1%Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 02:31 PM UTC