Will Republicans win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Ohio, Iowa, and Maine (including the special election in Ohio) that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats? | Polymarket | 65% No | Open |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio Senate seat, and Republicans win Iowa and Maine? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will Republicans win the Ohio Senate seat, and Democrats win Iowa and Maine? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Will Republicans win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Iowa? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Iowa? | Polymarket | 78% No | Open |
| Will Republicans win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
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As of Oct 24, 09:22 PM UTC