Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 32 million views this week?
Price has not been independently checked yet.
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve according to the views figure of the movie that this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie, according to Netflix. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If the reported views figure falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used to determine the final figure.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 20 and 24 million views this week? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 24 and 28 million views this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 16 and 20 million views this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 28 and 32 million views this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will the #1 global Netflix movie have less than 16 million views this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 25, 05:04 PM UTC