Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 18 million views this week?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume$56
7d volume$790
30d volume$790
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ResolvesOct 14, 202611 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve according to the views figure of the show that this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show, according to Netflix. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If the reported views figure falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used to determine the final figure.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves from the Oct. 13, 2026 Netflix global shows chart; Polymarket resolves from the corresponding Netflix Top 10 update on that date. Polymarket adds an alphabetical tiebreak if multiple shows are tied for #1, which Kalshi does not specify.
  • Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 18 million views?

    If the #1 Show on Netflix has at least 18 million views on the chart published on Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of the top Show ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Shows | English" chart. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Oct 13, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.

    read Oct 12, 10:26 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 18 million views this week?

    Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve according to the views figure of the show that this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show, according to Netflix. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If the reported views figure falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used to determine the final figure.

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As of Oct 25, 05:43 AM UTC