Will RJ Harris win in Round 3?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume$12
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ResolvesOct 10, 202615 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 8, 01:31 AMOct 9, 12:30 AMOct 9, 11:29 PMOct 10, 10:28 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if RJ Harris wins in Round 3 of the Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris UFC fight scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. A technical decision, draw, or no contest does not count as a win in any round. A fighter winning in Round 3 means the fight officially ends during Round 3. If a fight is stopped between rounds, the victory will be deemed to have occurred in the round that just concluded. If the fight is cancelled or postponed by more than two days, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. PolymarketUs resolves Oct 25 using last fair price if postponed >2 days; Polymarket resolves Oct 11 using 50-50 if postponed beyond Oct 24. Both source outcomes from UFC; no material difference in the substantive resolution criteria.
  • Polymarket USthis market

    Will RJ Harris win in Round 3?

    This market will settle to Yes if RJ Harris wins in Round 3 of the Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris UFC fight scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. A technical decision, draw, or no contest does not count as a win in any round. A fighter winning in Round 3 means the fight officially ends during Round 3. If a fight is stopped between rounds, the victory will be deemed to have occurred in the round that just concluded. If the fight is cancelled or postponed by more than two days, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.

    read Oct 10, 06:28 PM UTC

  • Will RJ Harris win in Round 3?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if RJ Harris defeats Allen Frye Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 3, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Who will win in the upcoming mma event Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTC?PolymarketUs100% Allen Frye Jr.Open
Will RJ Harris win by KO, TKO, or DQ in Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris: R. Harris by KO/TKO/DQPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Will the fight go the distance in Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ HarrisPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Will Allen Frye Jr. vs. RJ Harris end by KO, TKO, or DQ?PolymarketUs100% YesOpen
Will RJ Harris win in Round 1?PolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Will Allen Frye Jr. win by KO, TKO, or DQ in Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris: A. Frye Jr. by KO/TKO/DQPolymarketUs100% YesOpen
Will Allen Frye Jr. vs. RJ Harris end before round 2?PolymarketUs100% YesOpen
Will Allen Frye Jr. vs. RJ Harris end before round 3?PolymarketUs100% YesOpen
Will RJ Harris win by submission in Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris: R. Harris by SubmissionPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Will Allen Frye Jr. win by submission in Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris: A. Frye Jr. by SubmissionPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Will Allen Frye Jr. win by decision in Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris: A. Frye Jr. by DecisionPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Will Allen Frye Jr. win in Round 1?PolymarketUs100% YesOpen
Will RJ Harris win in Round 2?PolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Will RJ Harris win by decision in Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris: R. Harris by DecisionPolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Will Allen Frye Jr. win in Round 2?PolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Will Allen Frye Jr. win in Round 3?PolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Will Allen Frye Jr. vs. RJ Harris go to a decision, draw, or no contest?PolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Will Allen Frye Jr. vs. RJ Harris end by decision?PolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Will Allen Frye Jr. vs. RJ Harris end by submission?PolymarketUs100% NoOpen
Will Allen Frye Jr. vs. RJ Harris end in a draw?PolymarketUs100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 04:16 PM UTC