Orlando vs Toronto: regulation time spread: Toronto (-2.5)

Orlando (+2.5)100%
Toronto (-2.5)0%

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ResolvesOct 15, 20269 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 7Oct 9Oct 11Oct 13Oct 15Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Toronto FC beats Orlando City SC by more than 2.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Toronto FC's goals minus Orlando City SC's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini uses league/ESPN/Fox Sports/official broadcast sources and may invoke its review process if the result cannot be determined; Polymarket primarily uses MLS official scores, with specified fallback sources and 50–50 treatment for a fully canceled match. Their listed settlement times differ, which does not change the question.
  • Geminithis market

    Orlando vs Toronto: regulation time spread: Toronto (-2.5)

    If Toronto FC beats Orlando City SC by more than 2.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Toronto FC's goals minus Orlando City SC's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

    read Oct 14, 01:49 PM UTC

  • Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC: spread: Toronto FC (-2.5)

    In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for October 14 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Orlando City SC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Orlando vs Toronto: regulation time spread: Orlando (-2.5)Gemini100% Toronto (+2.5)Open
Orlando vs Toronto: regulation time spread: Orlando (-1.5)Gemini100% Toronto (+1.5)Open
Orlando vs Toronto: regulation time spread: Toronto (-1.5)Gemini100% Orlando (+1.5)Open

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As of Oct 24, 06:57 PM UTC