Will SI.gov launch by October 31?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government launches an official website at SI.gov between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying change requires SI.gov to be publicly accessible and serving an official U.S. government website. Either a completely new website or the existing AI.gov site moved, redirected, or rebranded to SI.gov will qualify. SI.gov merely redirecting to another existing website (e.g., AI.gov) will not qualify. Placeholder or "coming soon" pages, error pages, and pages that are not publicly accessible will not qualify. Only an actual change to the websites within this market's timeframe will qualify. Announcements of a planned change, including official U.S. government announcements, as well as statements, interviews, social media posts, polls, jokes, or expressions of interest, will not qualify. Temporary redirects, temporary pages, tests, or changes to either website caused by hacks will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be the AI.gov and SI.gov websites and official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will SI.gov launch by October 15? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 24, 06:34 PM UTC