#1 Searched Person on Google 2026? — Donald Trump

No78%
Yes23%

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24h volume$233
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread43%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Donald Trump is the individual ranked #1 in Googles official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. Outcome sourced from Google Trends (https://trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/). The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global Trending People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will settle based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. For full rules, see: https://polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20GSRC%20-%20(2026.09.29).pdf

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Both resolve off Google’s Year in Search Global “People” list for 2026. They differ only in settlement mechanics and dates: Myriad waits for the list and has a fallback by March 31, 2027, while Polymarket states a Jan. 15, 2027 settlement time.
  • Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

    ### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** Determined once Google publishes its 2026 Year in Search Global "People" list. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to "Yes" for the individual ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026, provided they are listed as an outcome. - Resolves to "No" for all other individuals. ### **Resolution Details:** - The specified list is expected to appear on the Google Trends Year in Search hub ([trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/](http://trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/)), with location set to Global, navigating Global → Trending → People. This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of the exact navigation procedure used to reach it. - A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. - This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No" for all listed options. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - Google discontinues its Year in Search program or the People category before the 2026 list is released. - The official result cannot be reliably verified through Google's published list. In the event of cancellation, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.

    read Oct 24, 03:56 PM UTC

  • Polymarket USthis market

    #1 Searched Person on Google 2026? — Donald Trump

    This market will settle to Yes if Donald Trump is the individual ranked #1 in Googles official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. Outcome sourced from Google Trends (https://trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/). The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global Trending People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will settle based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. For full rules, see: https://polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20GSRC%20-%20(2026.09.29).pdf

    read Oct 24, 01:34 AM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 06:35 PM UTC