Polymarket USOpen

October Unemployment Rate: Above 4.2%

No67%

Yes34%

Price checked at Oct 24, 03:46 PM UTC

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24h volume$573

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 21, 2026in 28 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the U.S. seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in the Employment Situation Report for October 2026 is above 4.2%. Outcome sourced from BLS. Settlement is based on the Employment Situation Report release published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), currently scheduled for release on November 6, 2026. Any subsequent revisions to this figure will not be considered for settlement purposes. If no qualifying U.S. seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) figure for the specified month is released within three months of the Employment Situation Report scheduled release date, this market will resolve based on data from the most recent previous month with available data. For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/products/PMUS%20-%20URC%20-%20(2026.04.03).pdf

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
October Unemployment Rate: Above 4.1%	PolymarketUs	71% Yes	$1.1K	—	—	Open
October Unemployment Rate: Above 4.0%	PolymarketUs	94% Yes	$894	—	—	Open
October Unemployment Rate: Above 3.9%	PolymarketUs	98% Yes	$293	—	—	Open
October Unemployment Rate: Above 4.4%	PolymarketUs	97% No	$129	—	—	Open
October Unemployment Rate: Above 4.6%	PolymarketUs	99% No	$80	—	—	Open
October Unemployment Rate: Above 4.5%	PolymarketUs	98% No	$50	—	—	Open
October Unemployment Rate: Above 4.3%	PolymarketUs	93% No	$47	—	—	Open
October Unemployment Rate: Above 3.8%	PolymarketUs	99% Yes	$4	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 11 hours ago

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

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As of Oct 24, 03:53 PM UTC