KalshiResolved

Top Coding AI this week? Claude

Claude99%
No1%

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ResolvesOct 12, 202613 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 7Oct 8Oct 10Oct 11Oct 13

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Top Coding AI this week? ChatGPTKalshi97% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 08:19 AM UTC